Los Angeles Lakers @ Denver Nuggets
October 26, 2022
OCTOBER 26th COMPLIMENTARY PICK
Lonnie Walker IV OVER 17.5 Points & Assists
We find player prop value in a Wednesday night matchup where the 0-3 Lakers try to upset the Denver Nuggets. Los Angeles is the 2nd worst offensive team in the NBA thus far averaging just 103.3PPG. We look to take advantage of a lineup that will likely perform more efficiently with Russell Westbrook out (listed as doubtful due to a hamstring injury).
Westbrook has averaged 10.3PPG and 4.3 assists/game thus far. With him out, the Lakers lineup will have 28 minutes of playing time to divvy out and an extra 12.7 shots per game. Look at guard Lonnie Walker IV’s points & assists line tonight. The O/U is set at 17.5 points & assists. Line functionality matters here. In his 4-year career with San Antonio he averaged 11.1 points & assists/game. Oddsmakers realize his role is VERY much expanded in this Lakers lineup and he’s being asked to provide more offensively.
Plus, with Westbrook out he’s going to be asked to handle to ball more, get up more shots, and dish the rock too. Walker IV has averaged 15.3 PPG and 3.0 APG thru 3 games this season. Plus, he’s hitting this number while only shooting 17% from 3-point range. The opposing Nuggets play in a shootout almost every game so LA will have to try and keep pace offensively. The Lakers average the 2nd most possessions/game so opportunities will be plenty tonight.
Cash with us – Take Lonnie Walker IV (LAL) OVER 17.5 points & assists! (10*)
BONUS FREE PICK: Aaron Gordon (DEN) UNDER 15.5 Points (5*)