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Los Angeles Lakers @ Los Angeles Clippers
November 9, 2022
Line: Clippers -3.5, O/U 219.5
7:00 PM PST / 10:00 PM EST
A Los Angeles duel takes place, and we see good value on the board for player props. With two teams that have struggled to start their 2022-2023 campaigns, oddsmakers expect a low-scoring battle between the Lakers & Clippers.
Look at Clippers star Paul George tonight. He’s had to carry the bulk of the offense with Kawhi Leonard out. This increased production has led to more shot attempts and increased prop lines. His O/U tonight for points scored is 26.5 and his three-pointers made is 3.5. Almost the entire season his line has been set at 2.5 but has shot up recently because of his hot streak from deep. Paul has averaged 4.4 threes and cashed the over 100% of the time over the past 5 games. We see it differently tonight. In his one game against the Lakers this season he only put up 15 points and was 2/7 from 3-point land. George has hit 3 or less three pointers 60% of the time this season and he’s the Lakers primary focus defensively. The Clippers have the DEAD LAST ranked offense in the NBA and are 25th ranked in 3-point %. Meanwhile, the Lakers are ranked 11th in opponent 3-point percentage. Key: in his career George has been a quality shooter, but only averages 2.5 made threes/game historically.
Ride this value play with the line being over-adjusted – Take Paul George UNDER 3.5 three-pointers!
BONUS PICK: Marist ML (College Basketball)