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GRIZZLIES @ SUNS
December 23, 2022
7:00 PM PST
Where is there quality value in the Friday Night primetime NBA matchup between the Grizzlies and the Phoenix Suns?
Look no further than Suns starting SF Mikal Bridges. Currently, the Suns are 2.5-point underdogs and Bridges’ prop lines are O/U 18.5 points, O/U 4.5 rebounds, and O/U 2.5 assists. We like Bridges to be aggressive and efficient in tonight’s matchup. Phoenix will have to make up for the absence of SG Devin Booker who just scored 58 points on December 17th. He averages 28PPG, 4.8RPG, and 5.8APG on the year so the Suns have plenty to account for tonight. We see Mikal getting more looks tonight with the ball in his hand. Particularly, Memphis is among the worst at defending the SF position. They are dead last (30th) in the NBA in opponent SF PPG allowing 24.18 per game. Looking more broadly they are ranked 27th when it comes to all-around statistics (pts, reb, ast). Expect PG Chris Paul and Bridges to have the ball in their hands all game. It should be a close game and Bridges averages 36.5 minutes/game so he will have loads of opportunity. Line functionality: on the season Bridges averages 24 PRA (points, rebounds, and assists) but oddsmakers have his line tonight at 25.5 because they see the Suns main producer (Booker) leaving a statistical void to fill.
Combine this with the Grizz struggles defending his position and we see a value play – Take Mikal Bridges OVER 25.5 points, rebounds, and assists!