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Mississippi State – Illinois (NCAAF, ReliaQuest Bowl)
LSU – Purdue (NCAAF, Citrus Bowl)
Tulane – USC (NCAAF, Cotton Bowl)
Penn St – Utah (NCAAF, Rose Bowl)
Bills – Bengals (NFL)
BILLS – BENGALS
January 2nd, 2023
5:30 PM PST
Monday Night Football has us locked and loaded ready to cash again as the Bills take on the Bengals in a potential AFC Championship preview. Oddsmakers have the line at Buffalo -2 and O/U 49.5 points. We focus on the Bills QB Josh Allen. His prop lines are O/U 22.5 completions and O/U 260.5 passing yards. Allen will be facing a Bengals defense that has allowed lots of success passing this season, ranking 21st in the NFL in opponent passing yards. Allen has averaged 22.7 completions/game and will face a Bengals defense that has allowed 64% passing (25.7 completions/game) over the last 3 games. With both teams on fire as of late, it will likely be a quarterback duel going back and forth with Burrow. Vegas expects this to be a shootout with 50+ points scored and we know Buffalo will be looking to secure the 1-seed for the playoffs. Line functionality speaks volumes here. While Allen is elite, over the past 4 games he’s only thrown for 23+ completions one time and the Bengals are #1 in the NFL in opponent completion % on the year. Yet, oddsmakers post a higher line anticipating success tonight for the Bills. When it comes down to crunch time tonight, the Bills offense will be humming and Allen should have tons of completions throughout, including 2-minute drill offense at the end of each half. Keep in mind the Bengals pass defense faced two of the top rushing % teams in the NFL multiple times this season in Baltimore and Cleveland, falsely inflating their stats. We follow the value tonight - Take Josh Allen OVER 22.5 completions for a winner!