Kansas City Chiefs @ San Francisco 49ers
Line: Chiefs -1.5, O/U 48.5
October 23, 2022
4:25pm EST on FOX
A rematch of Super Bowl LIV features a contrast of football styles. While the Chiefs trust in Patrick Mahomes arm, the Niners rely on a mixed playbook with Jimmy G behind center.
We look to value in the quarterback props. Check Patrick Mahomes passing yardage prop, currently listed at 283.5 passing yards. On the year Mahomes averages 289.3 yards/game. Line functionality matters here: oddsmakers know he’s facing a top 5 defense and will be pressured all game, thus lowering the line below his typical production. The 49ers defense is ranked #1 in the NFL in total yards allowed and are ranked #2 in opponent passing yards/game, giving up just 168.3 yards/game thru 6 weeks! The closest a quarterback has even come to this line is 254 yards when Matthew Stafford threw 48 times in a 9-24 loss.Yes, we have all witnessed Patrick Mahomes magic over the past few years, but the Niners defense is LEGIT. Plus, on the offensive side of the ball San Francisco just added RB Christian Mccaffrey to their dynamic offense and the threat of him and Deebo Samuel will leave Mahomes on the sidelines more than usual. San Francisco looks to dominate time of possession. The popular public opinion is to ride Mahomes in general. Do not be afraid to take the tough play today
Take Patrick Mahomes UNDER 283.5 passing yards!