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Packers @ Eagles
November 27, 2022
5:20 PM PST
Where is there value when the Packers take on the Eagles in a Sunday Night showdown? Look no further than Green Bay QB Aaron Rodgers. His player props are currently listed at O/U 20.5 completions and O/U 223.5 passing yards.
In a struggling season with a desperate Packers team, they will rely heavily on Rodgers and slam the over, right? Absolutely not! The value tonight lies in the matchup. News broke this week that Rodgers has a broken right thumb on his throwing hand and has been dealing with this since week 5. It’s no wonder he’s had a lot of errant throws and been playing some of the worst football of his career. For Green Bay to have a shot tonight they will NEED ball control and to maintain long possessions running the ball. The Eagles pass defense is ranked 2nd in the NFL, allowing just 178.4 passing yards/game. Over the past 5 games, Rodgers has averaged 228 passing yards/game and his yardage prop has hit the under 80% of the time. Oddsmakers see an even tougher matchup, placing value on the under tonight and lowering his line. Most importantly: Philly’s D has only allowed one QB to hit this number all season (this yardage prop line would be 9-1). Their last 5 games they’ve held opponents to just 213, 211, 154, 191, and 181 passing yards. This Packers team will NOT be the team to break the trend. They are simply outmatched here.
Take Aaron Rodgers UNDER 223.5 passing yards for a winner!