Pittsburgh Steelers @ Miami Dolphins
Line: Dolphins -7.5, O/U 44.5
October 23, 2022
8:15pm EST on NBC
All eyes are focused on the return of Tua Tagovailoa, but we look deeper into the opponent Pittsburgh Steelers player props.
Starting running back Najee Harris has a rushing yardage prop sitting at 40.5 yards. We love the value here. Oddsmakers have his total WAY down due to his slow start on the year. Let’s take advantage. This number has hit in 4 of 6 games this season during an extremely down year so far in regard to the Steelers rushing attack. Harris averaged over 70 yards/game in 2021 and could easily break a long run to hit this prop in literally just one play. Let’s look at offensive trends. Najee averaged 18 touches on the ground last year. This year he’s down to about 13 rushes per game and we can expect that to even out, increasing his overall opportunities. If Najee gets his career-typical 18 carries, he only needs to average 2.28 yards/carry to hit this prop. Plus, with QB Kenny Pickett coming back from a concussion they are looking to pound the rock and control clock against the Dolphins. Miami allows over 100 rushing yards/game to opponents. We can count on Najee to get us there.
Take Najee Harris OVER 40.5 rushing yards!