Colts @ Broncos (-3, 42.5)
October 6 2022
8:15pm EST on Amazon Prime
What’s not to love about Thursday night football in Denver?
Before we get started, let’s review our past 14 Free Plays all documented on the ProvenWinner. Winners of our last 13 of 14, yes 13-1 record! If you haven’t downloaded it yet, go check it out on the App Store or Google Play Store and get a push notification for all Premium and Free Plays!
Great value exists with the Colts QB Matt Ryan and his passing props. The Colts have underwhelmed this year and have been playing from behind almost every game. This has led to tons of passing situations and Thursday Night will be no different
with running back Jonathan Taylor OUT due to an ankle injury.
Indianapolis will lean on Ryan and an aerial attack (60.4% of play calls have been passing). Matty Ice is ranked 6th in the NFL in completions per game at 25.5 thru 4 games. Yet, the O/U line is listed at just 20.5. This number has gone OVER easily in 3 out of the 4 games and will again this week. With Ryan averaging 38.5 pass attempts/game he’s going to hit 21+ easily. The Broncos defense has allowed 20.25 completions/game against teams that don’t throw the ball near as often as the Colts. Historical trends: throughout his 15-year career Ryan has averaged 23.6 completions/game. Consistently above the line this week. Take the value, the smart play, and let’s
Take Matt Ryan OVER 20.5 completions.