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CELTICS @ HEAT
January 24, 2023
4:30 PM PST
We focus on the matchup between two of the division leaders in the NBA Eastern Conference. The Celtics look to rebound after a 15-point loss to the Magic on Monday as they visit Miami. The line is favoring Miami by 3 points and the O/U is listed at 217.5 points. Coming off an abysmal 98-point outing last night, we expect Boston to be efficient and aggressive offensively tonight. They are ranked #2 in the NBA scoring the ball, averaging 118.1 PPG on the year. Particularly, they should have a good night shooting the deep ball as Miami gives up the 5th highest 3-point% in the NBA. Major key: Boston is the best in the NBA on back-to-back games, going 7-0 on the year, winning by an average of 12+ points/game. These games on no rest tend to be faster paced with little defense being played. In these 7 games on no rest, the over has gone 4-2-1, hitting at a 66% rate and covering by an average of 8.1 points over the spread. This is the 4th time these teams have met already this season. The average scoring output through the first 3 was 235.3 PPG, with the game on November 30th being 134-121. Miami plays quality defense, but we think oddsmakers have overcompensated for their recent play and like these teams to get it done tonight. We expect the general public to take the under as the Heat’s recent performances trend that way, but we will be sharp tonight.
Take Boston vs Miami OVER 217.5 points!