New Orleans Pelicans @ New York Knicks (-3.5, 209.5)

January 20, 2022
7:30EST on MSG

The Thursday NBA slate is small with only three games being played tonight. However, there is still value to be seen at Madison Square Garden when the New Orleans Pelicans take on the New York Knicks. Tip-off is at 7:30pm ET / 4:30pm PT. The Knicks (22-23) are looking to get back to .500 on the season as they face the Pelicans (16-28) who are also coming off two straight losses.

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 The value is found here based on matchup strengths/weaknesses for each team. The Pelicans have not had the season fans hoped for, in part due to injuries. On paper, a lineup featuring Zion Williamson, Brandon Ingram, and Jonas Valanciunas is a playoff contender. However, Zion’s foot injury and weight issues continue to prevent him from seeing game action. Thus, their offense has really sputtered this year. The Pelicans are ranked in the bottom 6 teams in the league in both pts/game (105.5) and FG% (43.7). On the other side, Knicks coach Tom Thibodeau has always prided himself on defense and this season is no different. The Knicks are in the top 5 in the NBA for opponent pts/game and opponent FG%. It should be very tough to score in the halfcourt for New Orleans tonight. On offense, we canexpect New York to have a good night shooting from deep. The Knicks rank 8th in team 3PT% while the Pelicans give up the 2ndhighest 3PT% to opponents.

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Let’s check out some betting trends. The Knicks are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games as a favorite and 6-1 ATS in their past 7 home games. The Pelicans are an ice cold 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games playing on 2 days rest and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog. Lastly, Pelicans starting point guard and 3rdleading scorer Devonte’ Graham is questionable for Thursday’s game with an ankle injury and appears unlikely to suit up. If he’s out of the lineup, expect the Knicks guards to take advantage of this on both ends of the court. The Pelicans also do not match up well against PF Julius Randle. Look for him to have a big night. We see a potential blowout winner here.

Take the Knicks -3.5!!!