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Buffalo Bills @ Kansas City Chiefs (-2.5, 56.5)
October 10, 2021
8:20pm EST on NBC
The Chiefs host the Bills on October 10 on Sunday Night Football. Buffalo lost the first game of the season and have won their last three, including a 40-0 shutout over the Texans. Kansas City rebounded after a 1-2 start by defeating the Eagles on the road, 42-30. The Chiefs are a 3-point favorite with an over/under of 56 ½.
Statistically speaking, the Bills and Chiefs are both averaging 33.5 points per game. There is a huge difference on the defensive side of the ball. Buffalo is allowing the fewest points in the league at 11.0. They are also first in fewest total yards allowed, first in fewest passing yards, and fourth in fewest rushing yards allowed. On the flip side, the Chiefs are 27th in passing yards allowed, 29th in rushing yards allowed, and 31st in points allowed.
Josh Allen has thrown for 1055 yards and nine touchdowns and has added another 129 yards on the ground with a touchdown. Stefon Diggs and Cole Beasley have combined for 51 receptions, while tight end Dawson Knox has hauled in 15 passes, four of them for touchdowns. On the ground, the Bills are averaging 4.5 yards per carry, led by Devin Singletary’s 259 yards. On the defensive side of the ball, the Bills created pressure from all angles and have recorded 12 sacks. In addition, they have been flying around the ball, intercepting seven passes with five forced fumbles.
Patrick Mahomes has been terrific, completing 72 percent of his passes for 1218 yards and 14 touchdowns. Top targets Travis Kelce and Tyreek Hill have torched defenses for 765 yards and seven touchdowns on 54 receptions. The Chiefs are without a doubt a passing team, but are getting solid production from Clyde Edwards-Helaire, who has 291 yards and is averaging five yards per carry. On the defensive side of the ball, Mike Danna and Chris Jones have five of the team’s seven sacks. The Chiefs have forced five fumbles and have intercepted three passes.
The Bills haven’t faced a team as good as the Chiefs. The combined record of their first four opponents is 5-12. The Chiefs opponents are a combined 10-5 with the Ravens, Browns, and Chargers all 3-1.
The match up to watch is the Bills defense versus the Chiefs offense. Buffalo is likely to be able to score against the Chiefs, who have struggled against all teams, even giving up 30 to the 1-3 Eagles. If the Bills can somewhat contain Kansas City’s powerful attack, they have a shot to steal one on the road.
Clyde Edwards-Helaire can be played all the way down to 49.5 rushing yards.