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SAINTS @ BUCCANEERS
December 5, 2022
5:15 PM PST

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A Monday Night Football division rematch will be a physical one as the Saints take on the Buccaneers.

Our focus is on veteran QB Tom Brady. His struggles against New Orleans since he arrived in Tampa Bay are well documented, but will he avenge more of those demons tonight? Absolutely. Currently, Brady’s passing props are O/U 24.5 completions, O/U 267.5 passing yards, and O/U 1.5 passing touchdowns. Lock in on the completions here. While Brady didn’t play well in week 2 against the Saints, he’s gotten most of his receiving corps healthy since then and is looking better each week. On the season TB12 has averaged 28.3 completions/game. He’s hit 25+ in 8 of 11 games (73% rate). The Bucs rank dead last in the NFL in running the ball so we know his pass attempts will be plenty. With a larger sample size, Brady has averaged over 27 completions/game as a Buccaneer. With Brady averaging 42 pass attempts per game and New Orleans defense allowing an opponent completion % of 62% on the year, we see value in the over. Lastly, Brady is near the bottom of the NFL in yards/attempt meaning he’s going to throw tons of short passes and check downs. This will result in getting the ball out quickly and a lot of easy completions.

Enjoy the game tonight – Take Tom Brady OVER 24.5 completions!