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Cowboys @ Vikings
Line:  Cowboys -1.5, O/U 48.5
November 20, 2022
5:00 PM PST

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We find underlying player prop value as the Dallas Cowboys are surprisingly favored on the road against the 8-1 Minnesota Vikings.

Check out Vikings wide receiver Adam Thielen. His prop lines are O/U 3.5 receptions and O/U 45.5 yards. With arguably the best receiver on the
other side of the field, Thielen hasn’t been talked about this season, yet he’s produced solid numbers. We can expect this to be a close game with Dallas listed as a 1.5-point favorite so the ikings will have the passing game firing. Look for Thielen to have a good performance as
Dallas tries to lock down Justin Jefferson. Key Stat: Thielen has played the 6th most snaps of ANY receiver this year in the NFL and averages over 7 targets/game. His opportunities will be there today against a defense looking to shut down his counterpart. Thielen should have 1 on 1
matchups all day as Jefferson draws the double teams. This season Thielen averages 4.8 catches/game and has had more than 3.5 receptions in 7 of 9 games, meaning he’s hit this number with 78% frequency. We feel the line should be at O/U 4.5 and will take advantage of
the books.

Lock in Adam Thielen OVER 3.5 receptions!