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Monday Night Football to wrap up week 16 in the NFL has us locked in on player prop value at the wideout position. As the Chargers take on the Colts we expect Justin Herbert to be airing it out as usual. Wide receiver Keenan Allen has an O/U listed at 60.5 receiving yards and Mike Williams is at O/U 57.5 receiving yards.

We feel that both lead receivers will have big games, but the Colts are more likely to focus on shutting down Keenan Allen, leaving extra targets for Mike Williams tonight. Since Williams has returned from his ankle injury, he has secured 10 catches for 183 yards and 1 touchdown on 14 targets. While Indianapolis is ranked 5th in giving up yards to the opponent’s receivers, he’s facing a Colts defense that completely collapsed last week against the Minnesota Vikings and showed big vulnerability in the passing game. Williams has averaged 69.3 yards/game in 10 games this season and has hit this number 60% of the time. That includes several games where he got injured or was playing on a limited snap count.  Being fully healthy, we expect a heavy target day for Williams and believe his line is undervalued. With Just Herbert’s passing line at O/U 279.5 yards, can Williams secure a 20% yardage share? Absolutely. He should be around 25-30% and thus we follow the value.

Take Mike Williams OVER 57.5 receiving yards for a winner!