Chicago Bears  @ New England Patriots
Line:  Patriots -8,  O/U 40.5
October 24, 2022
8:15pm EST on ESPN

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October 24, 2022

COMPLIMENTARY PICK

Tonight’s MNF matchup suits the Patriots style of play perfectly. They can pound the ground game and force Bears QB Justin Fields to throw the ball. With New England QB Mac Jones returning from injury, we can expect a heavy dose of the Patriots duo at running back: Rhamondre Stevenson and Damien Harris.

Check the prop line on Stevenson’s rushing yards. His O/U sits at 62.5 yards. While both backs are capable, Stevenson has been more explosive averaging 5.1 yards/carry thru 6 weeks. Plus, as Harris deals with nagging injuries, Rhamondre is being fed the rock. He will get his opportunities tonight. Over the past 4 weeks, Stevenson has averaged 17.5 carries/game. If he gets anywhere near his averages, Stevenson should surpass 90-100 rushing yards tonight.

More good news: the defense they’re going against is HORRIBLE at stopping the run. Chicago ranks 31st in the NFL in opponent rushing yards/game, giving up 163 yards on the ground per contest. Thru 6 weeks the opposing lead running back against Chicago has averaged 94.3 yards/game! With New England favored by 8.5, we can expect them to play with a lead and beat up the Bears in the trenches. Stevenson’s rushing yards prop over has gone 4-1 the past five games.

Cash it with us tonight – Take Rhamondre Stevenson (NE) OVER 62.5 rushing yards!

BONUS SELECTION:  David Montgomery (CHI) UNDER 51.5 Rushing Yards!